PSPEN

18:00Thu 29 Oct

SDH

Pena Sport FC vs SD Huesca

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. Pena Sport FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L. SD Huesca have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D.

The numbers. Pena Sport FC score two and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. SD Huesca score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 63%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Pena Sport FC 1-1 SD Huesca (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

PEN 5 of 5 (100%) · SDH 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Pena Sport FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SD Huesca: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%

PENA SPORT FC GOALS

Pena Sport FC Over 0.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 64%

1.56

PEN 5 of 5 (100%) · SDH 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%

Pena Sport FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · SD Huesca conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

SD HUESCA GOALS

SD Huesca Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.16

PEN 5 of 5 (100%) · SDH 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%

SD Huesca scored in 5 of 5 away · Pena Sport FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.4%

Pena Sport FC goals →

SD Huesca goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-16%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

PENA SPORT FCWWDLWLWLDD1.50 PPG

SD HUESCADWDLDDWDDD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PENA SPORT FC HOMExSD HUESCA AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.201.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS20%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.29POINTS A GAME1.33+0.29GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.31.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

33%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

PENA SPORT FC OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

SD HUESCA OR DRAW

75%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PENA SPORT FCxSD HUESCA

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME1.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE100%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Pena Sport FC have scored in 70% of their games.

SD Huesca have scored in 80% of their games.

Pena Sport FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

SD Huesca kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheets