Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco vs Independiente FC
Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Independiente FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco score 0.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco average 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Independiente FC score 2.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Independiente FC average 7.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. Independiente FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Independiente FC the likelier winners; Independiente FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Independiente FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Neo Pipil San Juan Nonualco 1-2 Independiente FC (10% chance).
The agreed story. Independiente FC or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).