MSMAR

14:15Wed 28 Oct

LEO

Mara Sugar FC vs Leopards SC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time.

Form. Mara Sugar FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. Leopards SC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L.

The numbers. Mara Sugar FC score 0.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mara Sugar FC average 10.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Leopards SC score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Leopards SC average 8.4 shots (2.8 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.

The case against. Mara Sugar FC's record still gives them 40% to win.

The read. Leopards SC to win. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Mara Sugar FC 0-1 Leopards SC (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Leopards SC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.18

MAR 7 of 10 (70%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)67.5%

Leopards SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level

Leopards SC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.30

MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 7 of 10 (70%)66.7%

Leopards SC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division · Mara Sugar FC: only games in Leopards SC's division

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 8 of 10 (80%)93.1%

Mara Sugar FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division

MARA SUGAR FC GOALS

Mara Sugar FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

MAR 3 of 5 (60%) · LEO 7 of 10 (70%)63.6%

Mara Sugar FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division

Mara Sugar FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.46

MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 7 of 10 (70%)62.4%

Mara Sugar FC scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division

LEOPARDS SC GOALS

Leopards SC Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.43

MAR 6 of 10 (60%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)68.2%

Leopards SC scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Leopards SC: only games in Mara Sugar FC's division · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Leopards SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.4%

Mara Sugar FC goals →

Leopards SC goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MARA SUGAR FCDWDLDLWLWW1.50 PPG

LEOPARDS SCDWDLLWWWLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MARA SUGAR FC HOMExLEOPARDS SC AWAY

1.33SCORED A GAME0.671.00CONCEDED A GAME0.3350%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.67CORNERS A GAME7.001.12CARDS A GAME1.10

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW

–

85 OF 93

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Mara Sugar FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Leopards SC have scored in 60% of their games.

Mara Sugar FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Leopards SC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards