Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Aps Bomet FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W. 3K FC have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D W.
The numbers. Aps Bomet FC score 1.3 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. Aps Bomet FC average 7.1 shots (2.9 on target), 1.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. 3K FC score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. 3K FC average 10.3 shots (3.2 on target), 6.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. 3K FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Aps Bomet FC to win. A tight game. 3K FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Aps Bomet FC or Draw at 1.34, 71% on the records (Aps Bomet FC unbeaten in 9 of 10; 3K FC failed to win 5 of 10). Backup: Aps Bomet FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.42. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Aps Bomet FC are a clear winner, no Unders); 3K FC Under 1.5 goals (3K FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Aps Bomet FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Aps Bomet FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Aps Bomet FC 1-0 3K FC (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).