YFYOK

11:00Wed 28 Oct

SAN

Yokohama F Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J.League Cup, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nissan Stadium, Yokohama, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Yokohama F Marinos have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W D. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Yokohama F Marinos score 1.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Yokohama F Marinos average 9.1 shots (3.1 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.5 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 16.1 shots (5.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 36%.

The read. No firm call: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sanfrecce Hiroshima the likelier winners; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 0.5 goals (Yokohama F Marinos's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); 1X2 - 2UP: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Yokohama F Marinos 1-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Draw or Sanfrecce HiroshimaIN CODES

1.23

YOK 5 of 7 (71%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)78.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Yokohama F Marinos failed to win 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.20

YOK 5 of 7 (71%) · SAN 6 of 7 (86%)77.7%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Yokohama F Marinos: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.16

YOK 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)74.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Yokohama F Marinos trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

YOK 6 of 7 (86%) · SAN 3 of 7 (43%)67%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Yokohama F Marinos: the bet landed in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1UPLEANHELD · the odds board 72%

1.38

YOK 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)50.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Yokohama F Marinos trailed in 0 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

YOK 7 of 7 (100%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)89.3%

Yokohama F Marinos: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level

YOKOHAMA F MARINOS GOALS

Yokohama F Marinos Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

YOK 4 of 7 (57%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)67%

Yokohama F Marinos scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

YOK 5 of 7 (71%) · SAN 4 of 7 (57%)64.3%

Yokohama F Marinos: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · on half-time scores · Yokohama F Marinos: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Yokohama F Marinos's level

Left off the list: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 0.5 goals (Yokohama F Marinos's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); 1X2 - 2UP: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (the numbers (47%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Yokohama F Marinos goals →

Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals ↓

0-09%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-111%

1-113%

2-17%

3-12%

4-10.6%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.5%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

YOKOHAMA F MARINOSDDDWDWWWDW2.00 PPG

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMAWLWWWWWWWL2.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

YOKOHAMA F MARINOS HOMExSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME2.500.70CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS70%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.001.20CARDS A GAME1.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME2.17+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.58-2.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.51.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.412LEAGUE GAMES12

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 0:2 HANDICAP

–

54 OF 60

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

39%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 85/90

YOKOHAMA F MARINOS OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA OR DRAW

65%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

YOKOHAMA F MARINOSxSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

5GAMES61.80SCORED A GAME1.501.40CONCEDED A GAME1.333.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%60%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Yokohama F Marinos have scored in 80% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 90% of their games.

Yokohama F Marinos kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards