Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka
Match details. Jp1, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Best Denki Stadium, Mito.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Mito Hollyhock have won two, drawn none and lost three of their last five, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. In this competition Mito Hollyhock have gone L L L. Cerezo Osaka have won two, drawn three and lost one of their last six, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition Cerezo Osaka have gone D D L D.
The numbers. Mito Hollyhock score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mito Hollyhock average 9.7 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Cerezo Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last six, with one clean sheet. Cerezo Osaka average 12.3 shots (3.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Mito Hollyhock have won none, drawn three and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).