Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time. It is played at Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh.
What's at stake. Phnom Penh Crown FC are 1st on 6 points after 2 games, 4 points clear of Kitchee. Kitchee are 2nd on 2 points after 2 games, 4 points behind Phnom Penh Crown, 1 point clear of Kuching FA.
Form. Phnom Penh Crown FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. In this competition Phnom Penh Crown FC have gone W W. Kitchee have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L. In this competition Kitchee have gone D D.
The numbers. Phnom Penh Crown FC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Phnom Penh Crown FC average 9.6 shots (3.4 on target), 6.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.7 a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet. Kitchee average 12.7 shots (5.0 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 87% on the records (Phnom Penh Crown FC: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; Kitchee: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 away). Leave: Phnom Penh Crown FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kitchee or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Phnom Penh Crown FC 2-1 Kitchee (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).