STSPT

20:45Wed 28 Oct

FCF

SP Tre Fiori vs FC Fiorentino

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Coppa Titano, Round of 16. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. SP Tre Fiori have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition SP Tre Fiori have gone W. FC Fiorentino have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. In this competition FC Fiorentino have gone L.

The numbers. SP Tre Fiori score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SP Tre Fiori average 11.8 shots (4.8 on target), 2.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. FC Fiorentino score 1.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SP Tre Fiori have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, SP Tre Fiori won four. The last time they met, on 8 Sep 2026, it finished SP Tre Fiori 1-0 FC Fiorentino.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. A knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Fiori are not clearly stronger.

The read. SP Tre Fiori or the draw. SP Tre Fiori are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SP Tre Fiori; the meetings favour SP Tre Fiori.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SP Tre Fiori 1-1 FC Fiorentino (12% chance).

The agreed story. SP Tre Fiori or the draw, goals in between.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SP Tre Fiori or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · FCF 7 of 9 (78%)78.7%

SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · the call is SP Tre Fiori or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Fior

SP Tre Fiori (Draw No Bet)SETTLEDIN CODES

1.11

SPT 4 of 5 (80%) · FCF 4 of 7 (57%)77.4%

SP Tre Fiori won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Fiorentino lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 5 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · won 4, refunded 0, lost 4 · rule 2: the meetings back SP Tre Fiori: in the last 10 meetings, SP Tre Fio

SP Tre Fiori or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · FCF 6 of 9 (67%)59.1%

SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · the call is SP Tre Fiori or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 16) with penalties if level, and SP Tre Fior

SP Tre Fiori or Draw & Over 1.5SETTLEDPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 3 of 6 (50%) · FCF 4 of 9 (44%)28.5%

SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level · rule 2: the meetings back SP Tre Fiori: in the last 10 meetings, SP Tre Fiori won 7, FC Fiorentino won 2 and

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · FCF 9 of 9 (100%)93.8%

SP Tre Fiori: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 6 (67%) · FCF 7 of 9 (78%)77.1%

SP Tre Fiori: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 6 (67%) · FCF 7 of 9 (78%)56.8%

SP Tre Fiori: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

SP TRE FIORI GOALS

SP Tre Fiori Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 5 of 6 (83%) · FCF 7 of 9 (78%)85.4%

SP Tre Fiori scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPT 4 of 6 (67%) · FCF 6 of 9 (67%)75%

SP Tre Fiori: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · FC Fiorentino: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · SP Tre Fiori: only games against sides at FC Fiorentino's level · FC Fiorentino: only games against sides at SP Tre Fiori's level

Left off the list: SP Tre Fiori to Win (the numbers (36%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); SP Tre Fiori Over 1.5 Goals (FC Fiorentino's own games don't back it (3 of 9))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 11.5%

SP Tre Fiori goals →

FC Fiorentino goals ↓

0-05%

1-06%

2-05%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.3%

0-17%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.6%

5-30.2%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.7%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SP TRE FIORILLLWWWWLWD1.60 PPG

FC FIORENTINOLLWWLLDLWD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SP TRE FIORI HOMExFC FIORENTINO AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.501.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2050%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.17POINTS A GAME1.33+1.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.83–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES6

SP Tre Fiori: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

SP TRE FIORI 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

SP TRE FIORI OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

FC FIORENTINO OR DRAW

53%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SP TRE FIORIxFC FIORENTINO

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SP TRE FIORI 7 · 70%DRAW 1FC FIORENTINO 2 · 20%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-04-02SP Tre Fiori 2 – 1 FC Fiorentino

2023-09-30SP Tre Fiori 1 – 0 FC Fiorentino

2024-01-27SP Tre Fiori 1 – 2 FC Fiorentino

2024-10-19SP Tre Fiori 1 – 2 FC Fiorentino

2025-02-15SP Tre Fiori 1 – 1 FC Fiorentino

2025-05-04SP Tre Fiori 3 – 1 FC Fiorentino

2025-05-07SP Tre Fiori 2 – 0 FC Fiorentino

2025-11-01SP Tre Fiori 2 – 0 FC Fiorentino

TRENDS

SP Tre Fiori have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Fiorentino have scored in 70% of their games.

SP Tre Fiori kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

FC Fiorentino kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards