Match details. NM Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at TUIL arena.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Tromsdalen UIL have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L. In this competition Tromsdalen UIL have gone W. Lyn 1896 FK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. In this competition Lyn 1896 FK have gone W.
The numbers. Tromsdalen UIL score three and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tromsdalen UIL average 3.4 shots (1.6 on target), 1.8 corners and 0.7 cards a game. Lyn 1896 FK score 1.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Lyn 1896 FK average 6.2 shots (2.4 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Tromsdalen UIL have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 19 Nov 2023, it finished Tromsdalen UIL 0-2 Lyn 1896 FK.
The case against. A knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger. Lyn 1896 FK's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Tromsdalen UIL or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Tromsdalen UIL the likelier winners; Tromsdalen UIL are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tromsdalen UIL. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Tromsdalen UIL or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tromsdalen UIL 2-1 Lyn 1896 FK (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Tromsdalen UIL or Over 1.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TRO 9 of 10 (90%) · LYN 6 of 6 (100%)93.3%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Tromsdalen UIL or Both Teams ScoreTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.15
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Tromsdalen UIL or Over 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.26
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 5 of 6 (83%)79.4%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Tromsdalen UIL (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
TRO 6 of 10 (60%) · LYN 3 of 5 (60%)65.3%
Tromsdalen UIL won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Lyn 1896 FK lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 61% · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3
Tromsdalen UIL 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.49
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · LYN 5 of 9 (56%)60.7%
Tromsdalen UIL scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK trailed in 4 of 6 away · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
Tromsdalen UIL to WinTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
2.15
TRO 6 of 10 (60%) · LYN 3 of 6 (50%)60.6%
Tromsdalen UIL won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK lost 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
1X2 - 2UP: Tromsdalen UILTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.98
TRO 3 of 5 (60%) · LYN 5 of 9 (56%)55.2%
Tromsdalen UIL scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 6 away · the call is Tromsdalen UIL or the draw: a knockout game (Round of 32) with penalties if level, and Tromsdalen UIL are not clearly stronger (rule 8)
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.15
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Tromsdalen UIL: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
TRO 7 of 10 (70%) · LYN 4 of 6 (67%)67.2%
Tromsdalen UIL: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
TRO 5 of 10 (50%) · LYN 3 of 6 (50%)51.7%
Tromsdalen UIL: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: both scored in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55%
TROMSDALEN UIL GOALS
Tromsdalen UIL Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Tromsdalen UIL scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80%
LYN 1896 FK GOALS
Lyn 1896 FK Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
TRO 4 of 6 (67%) · LYN 7 of 10 (70%)70.6%
Lyn 1896 FK scored in 4 of 6 away · Tromsdalen UIL conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
TRO 9 of 10 (90%) · LYN 4 of 6 (67%)80.6%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
1.72
TRO 8 of 10 (80%) · LYN 4 of 6 (67%)72.2%
Tromsdalen UIL: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyn 1896 FK: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Tromsdalen UIL or Draw & Over 1.5 (the numbers (75%) and the records (52%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Tromsdalen UIL or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (87%) and the records (61%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Lyn 1896 FK Under 1.5 goals (Lyn 1896 FK's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Tromsdalen UIL Over 1.5 goals (Lyn 1896 FK's own games don't back it (3 of 6))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–18.6%
Tromsdalen UIL goals →
Lyn 1896 FK goals ↓
0-02%
1-04%
2-06%
3-05%
4-04%
5-02%
0-12%
1-17%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-13%
0-22%
1-25%
2-26%
3-25%
4-23%
5-22%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-33%
3-32%
4-32%
5-30.8%
0-40.3%
1-40.7%
2-41.0%
3-40.9%
4-40.6%
5-40.3%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
TROMSDALEN UILLWWLWLWWLW1.80 PPG
LYN 1896 FKDDWWLLLLWL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TROMSDALEN UIL HOMExLYN 1896 FK AWAY
3.00SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME2.1030%CLEAN SHEETS20%1.78CORNERS A GAME5.750.67CARDS A GAME1.62
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.45POINTS A GAME1.29+0.73GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES14
Tromsdalen UIL: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
TROMSDALEN UIL OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
LYN 1896 FK OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TROMSDALEN UILxLYN 1896 FK
5GAMES82.00SCORED A GAME1.621.80CONCEDED A GAME2.003.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS88%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS62%80%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.7–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.7
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2
TROMSDALEN UIL 1 · 50%DRAW 0LYN 1896 FK 1 · 50%
2023-11-15Tromsdalen UIL 2 – 1 Lyn 1896 FK
2023-11-19Tromsdalen UIL 0 – 2 Lyn 1896 FK
TRENDS
Tromsdalen UIL have scored in 80% of their games.
Lyn 1896 FK have scored in 80% of their games.
Tromsdalen UIL kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Lyn 1896 FK kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards