FMFKM

13:30Wed 28 Oct

FCB

FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov vs FC Bregalnica 2008 AD

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Macedonia Cup. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.

Form. FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. FC Bregalnica 2008 AD have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.

The numbers. FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov average 8.6 shots (3.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FC Bregalnica 2008 AD score 1.4 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Bregalnica 2008 AD average 8.2 shots (2.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 13% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov the likelier winners; FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov 2-1 FC Bregalnica 2008 AD (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

FKM 3 of 6 (50%) · FCB 5 of 5 (100%)67.8%

FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · FC Bregalnica 2008 AD: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 53% · FC Bregalnica 2008 AD: only games against sides at FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov's level

Left off the list: Over 2.5 Cards (the numbers (70%) and the records (92%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

FK Makedonija Gjorce… goals →

FC Bregalnica 2008 AD goals ↓

0-05%

1-07%

2-07%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-15%

1-111%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-24%

1-27%

2-26%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.3%

0-40.5%

1-40.9%

2-40.9%

3-40.5%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK MAKEDONIJA GJORCE PETROVWDWLLWLWLD1.40 PPG

FC BREGALNICA 2008 ADLWLLWDWLLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK MAKEDONIJA GJORCE PETROV HOMExFC BREGALNICA 2008 AD AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.500.90CONCEDED A GAME1.9030%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.781.20CARDS A GAME2.56

TRENDS

FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Bregalnica 2008 AD have scored in 60% of their games.

FK Makedonija Gjorce Petrov kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

FC Bregalnica 2008 AD kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards