Cigand SE vs Paksi FC
Match details. Magyar Kupa. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Cigand SE have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D. Paksi FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Cigand SE score 3.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Cigand SE average 10.2 shots (5.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Paksi FC score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Paksi FC average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 6.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 8% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Cigand SE are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cigand SE the likelier winners; Cigand SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cigand SE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Paksi FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Cigand SE); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Cigand SE 2-1 Paksi FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).