NFNOV

20:30Mon 2 Nov

CAL

Novara FC vs Calcio Desenzano

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 12. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Silvio Piola, Novara. The referee is D. Kovacevic.

What's at stake. Novara FC are 16th on 10 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Giana Erminio, level on points with Dolomiti Bellunesi. A win would take them above Giana Erminio. Calcio Desenzano are 11th on 13 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Lecco, 1 point clear of Lumezzane. A win would take them above Lecco.

Form. Novara FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. Calcio Desenzano have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.

The numbers. Novara FC score 0.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Novara FC average 4.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Calcio Desenzano score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Calcio Desenzano average 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Novara FC 1-1 Calcio Desenzano (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NOV 9 of 9 (100%) · CAL 5 of 5 (100%)96.4%

Novara FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Novara FC: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Novara FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.34

NOV 7 of 9 (78%) · CAL 3 of 5 (60%)62.6%

Novara FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Novara FC: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Novara FC's level

NOVARA FC GOALS

Novara FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

NOV 5 of 9 (56%) · CAL 4 of 5 (80%)65%

Novara FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · Novara FC: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Novara FC's level

CALCIO DESENZANO GOALS

Calcio Desenzano Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.43

NOV 3 of 5 (60%) · CAL 8 of 9 (89%)58.7%

Calcio Desenzano scored in 3 of 5 away · Novara FC conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Novara FC's level · Novara FC: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.26

NOV 7 of 9 (78%) · CAL 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Novara FC: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Calcio Desenzano: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · Novara FC: only games against sides at Calcio Desenzano's level · Calcio Desenzano: only games against sides at Novara FC's level

Left off the list: Calcio Desenzano or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Calcio Desenzano or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Calcio Desenzano win or both teams score (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Novara FC goals →

Calcio Desenzano goals ↓

0-09%

1-011%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

NOVARA FCLDLWLDDLWD1.00 PPG

CALCIO DESENZANOWLLWWDDLWL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NOVARA FC HOMExCALCIO DESENZANO AWAY

0.91SCORED A GAME0.911.45CONCEDED A GAME1.1820%CLEAN SHEETS40%55%FAILED TO SCORE36%4.45CORNERS A GAME3.912.91CARDS A GAME1.91

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.91POINTS A GAME1.18-0.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.27-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.10.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.411LEAGUE GAMES11

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NOVARA FC OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

CALCIO DESENZANO OR DRAW

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NOVARA FCxCALCIO DESENZANO

5GAMES60.80SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.332.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.380%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%40%BOTH SCORE67%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.47.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Novara FC have scored in 40% of their games.

Calcio Desenzano have scored in 70% of their games.

Novara FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Calcio Desenzano kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards