Match details. Serie C, Group C. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Salernitana have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W L. AC Savoia 1908 have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D.
The numbers. Salernitana score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Salernitana average 6.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. AC Savoia 1908 score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Savoia 1908 average 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. Salernitana or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. Best bet: Salernitana or Draw at 1.16, 69% on the records (Salernitana unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; AC Savoia 1908 failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Salernitana or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Salernitana Over 0.5 Goals (AC Savoia 1908's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Salernitana 1-1 AC Savoia 1908 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).