Match details. Serie C, Group B. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. AS Gubbio have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Vis Pesaro 1898 have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. AS Gubbio score 0.9 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. AS Gubbio average 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Vis Pesaro 1898 score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Vis Pesaro 1898 average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Vis Pesaro 1898's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. AS Gubbio to win. Their goals for and against make AS Gubbio the likelier winners; both teams' records favour AS Gubbio.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Vis Pesaro 1898 or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs AS Gubbio). Predicted score: AS Gubbio 1-0 Vis Pesaro 1898 (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).