Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 12. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella. The referee is G. Bozzetto.
What's at stake. AS Cittadella are 1st on 27 points after 11 games, 3 points clear of Trento. Treviso FBC 1993 are 6th on 19 points after 11 games, level on points with Ospitaletto, 1 point clear of Alcione. A win would take them above Ospitaletto.
Form. AS Cittadella have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition AS Cittadella have gone L W W L W W. Treviso FBC 1993 have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Treviso FBC 1993 have gone W W L D W D.
The numbers. AS Cittadella score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AS Cittadella average 5.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Treviso FBC 1993 score 1.1 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Treviso FBC 1993 average 5.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Treviso FBC 1993's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. AS Cittadella to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AS Cittadella the likelier winners; AS Cittadella are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Cittadella. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, 75% on the records (AS Cittadella: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Treviso FBC 1993: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: AS Cittadella or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AS Cittadella Over 0.5 goals (Treviso FBC 1993's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: AS Cittadella (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Cittadella 1-0 Treviso FBC 1993 (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).