Match details. Virsliga. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ogre United have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Riga FC have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Ogre United score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Ogre United average 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Riga FC score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets. Riga FC average 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 71%.
The read. No firm call: Riga FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Riga FC the likelier winners; Riga FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Riga FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Riga FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Riga FC 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Ogre United 1-2 Riga FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Riga FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OGR 7 of 7 (100%) · RIG 5 of 6 (83%)94.4%
Riga FC: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 94% · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OGR 6 of 6 (100%) · RIG 7 of 7 (100%)94.8%
Ogre United: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Riga FC: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 75%
1.33
OGR 5 of 6 (83%) · RIG 3 of 7 (43%)51.8%
Ogre United: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Riga FC: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
OGRE UNITED GOALS
Ogre United Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
OGR 5 of 6 (83%) · RIG 4 of 7 (57%)51.9%
Ogre United scored in 5 of 6 at home · Riga FC conceded in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level
RIGA FC GOALS
Riga FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OGR 7 of 7 (100%) · RIG 5 of 6 (83%)84.8%
Riga FC scored in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 94% · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level
Riga FC Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
OGR 4 of 7 (57%) · RIG 5 of 6 (83%)60.5%
Riga FC scored over 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Ogre United conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 67% · Riga FC: only games against sides at Ogre United's level · Ogre United: only games against sides at Riga FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Riga FC or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (56%) and the records (76%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Riga FC 1UP (the numbers (62%) and the records (84%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (Riga FC are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.4%
Ogre United goals →
Riga FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-04%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
OGRE UNITEDLLLWLDLLLL0.40 PPG
RIGA FCWDWDWWWDDW2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
OGRE UNITED HOMExRIGA FC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME2.792.50CONCEDED A GAME0.9770%BOTH SCORED70%10%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.59CORNERS A GAME5.532.03CARDS A GAME1.85
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
DRAW OR RIGA FC (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.73POINTS A GAME2.25-1.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.33-5.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.90.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.011LEAGUE GAMES12
Riga FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
RIGA FC 0:2 HANDICAP
–
54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
OGRE UNITED OR DRAW
28%
NO · 80/85
RIGA FC OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
OGRE UNITEDxRIGA FC
6GAMES60.83SCORED A GAME2.332.50CONCEDED A GAME1.333.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.783%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%50%BOTH SCORE50%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.69.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Ogre United have scored in 80% of their games.
Riga FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Ogre United kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Riga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards