Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. The referee is Alejandro Hernandez.
What's at stake. Athletic Bilbao are 7th on 12 points after 9 games, 5 points behind Sevilla, level on points with Villarreal. Real Sociedad are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Real Betis, 2 points clear of Sevilla.
Team news. Athletic Bilbao are without U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring injury), U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring injury). Real Sociedad are without L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury).
Form. Athletic Bilbao have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Real Sociedad have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Real Sociedad have gone W W W W L W.
The numbers. Athletic Bilbao score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Athletic Bilbao average 13.8 shots (4.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Real Sociedad score 2.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Real Sociedad average 15.6 shots (5.8 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Athletic Bilbao have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and Real Sociedad won three. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2026, it finished Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Real Sociedad: Athletic Bilbao had 11 shots to 14, 51% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Athletic Bilbao or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Sociedad or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).