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SPAIN - LALIGA
Athletic Bilbao crestABATH
21:00Sun 1 Nov
REAReal Sociedad crestRS

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. LaLiga, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at San Mamés Stadium, Bilbao. The referee is Alejandro Hernandez.

What's at stake. Athletic Bilbao are 7th on 12 points after 9 games, 5 points behind Sevilla, level on points with Villarreal. Real Sociedad are 5th on 19 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Real Betis, 2 points clear of Sevilla.

Team news. Athletic Bilbao are without U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring injury), U. Egiluz (knee injury), G. Guruzeta (knee injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (hamstring injury). Real Sociedad are without L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury), L. Beitia (ankle injury), A. Odriozola (knee injury), A. Zakharyan (ankle injury).

Form. Athletic Bilbao have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Real Sociedad have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. In this competition Real Sociedad have gone W W W W L W.

The numbers. Athletic Bilbao score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Athletic Bilbao average 13.8 shots (4.9 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Real Sociedad score 2.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Real Sociedad average 15.6 shots (5.8 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Athletic Bilbao have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and Real Sociedad won three. The last time they met, on 4 Mar 2026, it finished Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Real Sociedad: Athletic Bilbao had 11 shots to 14, 51% of the ball, seven yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No side to back. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Athletic Bilbao or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Sociedad or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Sociedad (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.19
ATH 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 1 of 5 (20%)91.4%
Athletic Bilbao: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad: under 4.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.50
ATH 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 1 of 5 (20%)82%
Athletic Bilbao: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad: under 3.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 58% · H2H 5 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
2.25
ATH 2 of 5 (40%) · REA 1 of 5 (20%)55.8%
Athletic Bilbao: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad: under 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 38% · H2H 5 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
ATHLETIC BILBAO GOALS
Athletic Bilbao Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
ATH 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 5 (100%)59.5%
Athletic Bilbao scored in 4 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 3 of 6 · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
ATH 2 of 5 (40%) · REA 4 of 5 (80%)58.2%
Athletic Bilbao: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
CARDS
Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ATH 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 8 of 8 (100%)83%
Athletic Bilbao's games: over 2.5 cards in 3 of 5 at home · Real Sociedad's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Athletic Bilbao: only games against sides at Real Sociedad's level · Real Sociedad: only games against sides at Athletic Bilbao's level
Left off the list: Athletic Bilbao or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Sociedad or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 12.9%
Athletic Bilbao goals →
Real Sociedad goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
ATHLETIC BILBAOLLWWDDDLWW1.50 PPG
REAL SOCIEDADLLWDWLWWWW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ATHLETIC BILBAO HOMExREAL SOCIEDAD AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.901.00CONCEDED A GAME1.8050%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE30%6.10CORNERS A GAME6.622.20CARDS A GAME2.251.46xG1.601.33xG AGAINST1.42
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
ATHLETIC BILBAO 3 · 33%DRAW 2REAL SOCIEDAD 4 · 44%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
3 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-04-15Athletic Bilbao 2 – 0 Real Sociedad
2023-09-30Athletic Bilbao 0 – 3 Real Sociedad
2024-01-13Athletic Bilbao 2 – 1 Real Sociedad
2024-11-24Athletic Bilbao 1 – 0 Real Sociedad
2025-05-04Athletic Bilbao 0 – 0 Real Sociedad
2025-11-01Athletic Bilbao 2 – 3 Real Sociedad
2026-02-01Athletic Bilbao 1 – 1 Real Sociedad
2026-02-11Athletic Bilbao 0 – 1 Real Sociedad
TEAM NEWS

ATHLETIC BILBAO

Out: U. Egiluz (Knee Injury), G. Guruzeta (Knee Injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Hamstring Injury), U. Egiluz (Knee Injury), G. Guruzeta (Knee Injury), I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Hamstring Injury)

REAL SOCIEDAD

Out: L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury), A. Zakharyan (Ankle Injury), L. Beitia (Ankle Injury), A. Odriozola (Knee Injury), A. Zakharyan (Ankle Injury)
TRENDS
Athletic Bilbao have scored in 70% of their games.
Real Sociedad have scored in 80% of their games.
Athletic Bilbao kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Real Sociedad kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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