Match details. Serie C, Group B. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Vado FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D. US Grosseto have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. Vado FC score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Vado FC average 5.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game. US Grosseto score 2.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. US Grosseto average 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The case against. Vado FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. US Grosseto to win. Their goals for and against make US Grosseto the likelier winners; both teams' records favour US Grosseto.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Vado FC 0-1 US Grosseto (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VAD 9 of 9 (100%) · USG 8 of 9 (89%)95%
Vado FC: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Grosseto: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Vado FC: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level · US Grosseto: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
VAD 8 of 9 (89%) · USG 7 of 9 (78%)88%
Vado FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Grosseto: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Vado FC: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level · US Grosseto: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.24
VAD 5 of 9 (56%) · USG 8 of 9 (89%)72.5%
Vado FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · US Grosseto: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Vado FC: only games against sides at US Grosseto's level · US Grosseto: only games against sides at Vado FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.6%
Vado FC goals →
US Grosseto goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.5%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
VADO FCWDWWDLLLLL1.10 PPG
US GROSSETOWDWLWWDDLW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VADO FC HOMExUS GROSSETO AWAY
1.09SCORED A GAME2.091.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1840%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS50%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.551.73CARDS A GAME2.36
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME2.10-0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.00-3.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.72.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10
US Grosseto: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
US GROSSETO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
73%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
VADO FC OR DRAW
41%
NO · 80/85
US GROSSETO OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VADO FCxUS GROSSETO
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.800.60CONCEDED A GAME1.802.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.210.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Vado FC have scored in 60% of their games.
US Grosseto have scored in 90% of their games.
Vado FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
US Grosseto kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards