AS Giana Erminio vs Alcione Milano
Match details. Serie C, Group A. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. AS Giana Erminio have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. Alcione Milano have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D D.
The numbers. AS Giana Erminio score 1.3 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AS Giana Erminio average 4.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Alcione Milano score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Alcione Milano average 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Alcione Milano's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. AS Giana Erminio or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make AS Giana Erminio the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 76% on the records (AS Giana Erminio: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9; Alcione Milano: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: AS Giana Erminio Over 0.5 Goals at 1.29. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AS Giana Erminio 2-1 Alcione Milano (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).