Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio San Nicola, Bari.
What's at stake. SSC Bari are 2nd on 21 points after 11 games, 5 points behind Potenza, 1 point clear of Sorrento. Scafatese Calcio 1922 are 8th on 17 points after 11 games, level on points with Inter U23, level on points with Casertana. A win would take them above Inter U23.
Form. SSC Bari have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition SSC Bari have gone D D W L W W. Scafatese Calcio 1922 have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Scafatese Calcio 1922 have gone L W D W W D.
The numbers. SSC Bari score 0.8 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SSC Bari average 2.7 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Scafatese Calcio 1922 score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Scafatese Calcio 1922 average 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. SSC Bari or the draw. A tight game. SSC Bari are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: SSC Bari or Draw at 1.16, 70% on the records (SSC Bari unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Scafatese Calcio 1922 failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: SSC Bari 1-1 Scafatese Calcio 1922 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).