Match details. Serie C, Group C, Girone C - 12. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola.
What's at stake. Audace Cerignola are 6th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind SS Monopoli, level on points with Inter U23. A win would take them above SS Monopoli. Catania FC are 4th on 19 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Sorrento, 1 point clear of SS Monopoli. A win would take them above Sorrento.
Form. Audace Cerignola have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D L. In this competition Audace Cerignola have gone L W W D L D. Catania FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Catania FC have gone W L W W W D.
The numbers. Audace Cerignola score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Audace Cerignola average 6.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Catania FC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Catania FC average 4.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Audace Cerignola have won two, drawn three and lost one. One of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Audace Cerignola won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2026, it finished Audace Cerignola 0-0 Catania FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; five of the last six meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Audace Cerignola's record still gives them 37% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The read. Catania FC or the draw. A tight game. Catania FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Five of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 72% on the records (Audace Cerignola: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Catania FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Catania FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Audace Cerignola Under 1.5 goals (Catania FC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Audace Cerignola 1-1 Catania FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).