REGREG

20:30Fri 30 Oct

USS

Reggiana 1919 vs US Sambenedettese

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group B, Girone B - 12. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Reggiana 1919 are 6th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Torres, 1 point clear of Guidonia Montecelio 1937. A win would take them above Torres. US Sambenedettese are 16th on 10 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Forli, 1 point clear of Ostia Mare. A win would take them above Forli.

Form. Reggiana 1919 have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. US Sambenedettese have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.

The numbers. Reggiana 1919 score 1.3 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Reggiana 1919 average 5.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game. US Sambenedettese score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. US Sambenedettese average 3.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Reggiana 1919 have won two, drawn one and lost two. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Reggiana 1919 won one, one was drawn and US Sambenedettese won two. The last time they met, on 3 Nov 2019, it finished Reggiana 1919 2-1 US Sambenedettese.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. US Sambenedettese's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.

The read. Reggiana 1919 to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Reggiana 1919 the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Reggiana 1919. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Reggiana 1919 1-0 US Sambenedettese (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

REG 10 of 10 (100%) · USS 9 of 9 (100%)95.9%

Reggiana 1919: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · Reggiana 1919: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at Reggiana 1919's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

REG 9 of 10 (90%) · USS 8 of 9 (89%)89.5%

Reggiana 1919: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 5 · Reggiana 1919: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at Reggiana 1919's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.36

REG 8 of 10 (80%) · USS 8 of 9 (89%)78.3%

Reggiana 1919: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · US Sambenedettese: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Reggiana 1919: only games against sides at US Sambenedettese's level · US Sambenedettese: only games against sides at Reggiana 1919's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.4%

Reggiana 1919 goals →

US Sambenedettese goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-011%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.8%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

REGGIANA 1919LWLLLWWDWW1.60 PPG

US SAMBENEDETTESEWDDWLDLLLD1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REGGIANA 1919 HOMExUS SAMBENEDETTESE AWAY

1.27SCORED A GAME1.451.00CONCEDED A GAME1.6420%CLEAN SHEETS0%36%FAILED TO SCORE9%5.30CORNERS A GAME3.731.40CARDS A GAME3.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.55POINTS A GAME1.00+0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.10+0.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.00.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES10

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

REGGIANA 1919 OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

US SAMBENEDETTESE OR DRAW

49%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REGGIANA 1919xUS SAMBENEDETTESE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.402.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE80%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.813.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

REGGIANA 1919 2 · 40%DRAW 1US SAMBENEDETTESE 2 · 40%

1 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2016-11-07Reggiana 1919 2 – 0 US Sambenedettese

2017-03-26Reggiana 1919 0 – 2 US Sambenedettese

2017-09-30Reggiana 1919 0 – 2 US Sambenedettese

2018-02-10Reggiana 1919 0 – 0 US Sambenedettese

2019-11-03Reggiana 1919 2 – 1 US Sambenedettese

TRENDS

Reggiana 1919 have scored in 60% of their games.

US Sambenedettese have scored in 100% of their games.

Reggiana 1919 kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

US Sambenedettese kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards