US Albinoleffe vs US Pergolettese Crema
Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 12. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at AlbinoLeffe, Zanica.
What's at stake. US Albinoleffe are 10th on 14 points after 11 games, level on points with Lecco, 1 point clear of Desenzano Calvina. A win would take them above Lecco. US Pergolettese Crema are 7th on 17 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Ospitaletto, 2 points clear of Alcione. A win would take them above Ospitaletto.
Form. US Albinoleffe have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. US Pergolettese Crema have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. US Albinoleffe score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. US Albinoleffe average 3.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game. US Pergolettese Crema score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Pergolettese Crema average 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings US Albinoleffe have won five, drawn three and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, US Albinoleffe won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2026, it finished US Albinoleffe 3-0 US Pergolettese Crema.
Where it pulls both ways. US Pergolettese Crema are the form side, but the meetings favour US Albinoleffe: in the last ten meetings, US Albinoleffe won five, US Pergolettese Crema won two and three were drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 76% on the records (US Albinoleffe: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; US Pergolettese Crema: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: US Albinoleffe 1-1 US Pergolettese Crema (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).