Match details. Cupa Moldovei. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Zimbru Chisinau have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W. FC Oguz have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W D.
The numbers. FC Zimbru Chisinau score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. FC Zimbru Chisinau average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. FC Oguz score 1.2 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. FC Oguz average 11.2 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Zimbru Chisinau are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour FC Oguz.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Zimbru Chisinau 1-1 FC Oguz (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).