Match details. Premium Liiga, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn.
What's at stake. Nomme Kalju FC are 4th on 57 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Flora Tallinn, 4 points clear of Tammeka. A win would take them above Flora Tallinn. FC Kuressaare are 9th on 36 points after 34 games, 1 point behind Vaprus, 16 points clear of Trans Narva. A win would take them above Vaprus.
Form. Nomme Kalju FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L. In this competition Nomme Kalju FC have gone W W L D L W. FC Kuressaare have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W. In this competition FC Kuressaare have gone D L L W W D.
The numbers. Nomme Kalju FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Nomme Kalju FC average 6.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Kuressaare score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. FC Kuressaare average 5.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nomme Kalju FC have won nine, drawn one and lost none. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Nomme Kalju FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Jul 2026, it finished Nomme Kalju FC 0-0 FC Kuressaare.
The case against. FC Kuressaare's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Nomme Kalju FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Nomme Kalju FC the likelier winners; Nomme Kalju FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nomme Kalju FC; the meetings favour Nomme Kalju FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nomme Kalju FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nomme Kalju FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Nomme Kalju FC 1-0 FC Kuressaare (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).