FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Bate Borisov
Match details. Vysshaya Liga, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Dzerzhinsk City Stadium, Dzyarzhynsk.
What's at stake. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk are 13th on 24 points after 26 games, level on points with Belshina, 3 points clear of Bate Borisov. A win would take them above Belshina. Bate Borisov are 14th on 21 points after 26 games, 3 points behind Arsenal, 1 point clear of FC Dnepr Mogilev. A win would take them level on points with Arsenal.
Form. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. Bate Borisov have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk average 3.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Bate Borisov score 0.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Bate Borisov average 9.0 shots (2.9 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk have won three, drawn one and lost three. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk won one, one was drawn and Bate Borisov won two. The last time they met, on 21 Jun 2026, it finished FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3-2 Bate Borisov.
The case against. Bate Borisov's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk or the draw. A tight game. Bate Borisov are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Bate Borisov: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FK Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1-1 Bate Borisov (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).