SC Genemuiden vs FC Dordrecht
Match details. KNVB beker. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Genemuiden have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. FC Dordrecht have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W.
The numbers. SC Genemuiden score 2.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SC Genemuiden average 2.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Dordrecht score 0.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Dordrecht average 11.7 shots (4.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 16% against the records' 68%.
The read. No firm call: SC Genemuiden are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make SC Genemuiden the likelier winners; SC Genemuiden are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SC Genemuiden. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Dordrecht or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs SC Genemuiden); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SC Genemuiden 2-1 FC Dordrecht (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).