Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska vs Slask II Wroclaw
Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Sredzki, Sroda Wielkopolska.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. In this competition Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska have gone W. Slask II Wroclaw have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition Slask II Wroclaw have gone W.
The numbers. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska score three and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska average 11.7 shots (6.3 on target), 6.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Slask II Wroclaw score 1.8 and concede three a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Slask II Wroclaw average 9.9 shots (4.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 38% against the records' 75%.
The read. No firm call: Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska the likelier winners; Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 85%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Polonia Sroda Wielkopolska 2-1 Slask II Wroclaw (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).