Tiszaujvaros vs Kecskemeti TE
Match details. Magyar Kupa, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Tiszaujvaros have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition Tiszaujvaros have gone W. Kecskemeti TE have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W. In this competition Kecskemeti TE have gone W.
The numbers. Tiszaujvaros score 1.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tiszaujvaros average 7.2 shots (3.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Kecskemeti TE score 2.5 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Kecskemeti TE average 13.9 shots (6.3 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Kecskemeti TE are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Kecskemeti TE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kecskemeti TE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tiszaujvaros 1-2 Kecskemeti TE (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).