Pecsi MFC vs Kisvarda FC
Match details. Magyar Kupa, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at PMFC Stadion, Pécs.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Pecsi MFC have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Pecsi MFC have gone W. Kisvarda FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. In this competition Kisvarda FC have gone W.
The numbers. Pecsi MFC score 3.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Pecsi MFC average 9.9 shots (5.2 on target), 6.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Kisvarda FC score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Kisvarda FC average 12.0 shots (3.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 4 Dec 2019, it finished Pecsi MFC 1-0 Kisvarda FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 23% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Pecsi MFC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pecsi MFC the likelier winners; Pecsi MFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pecsi MFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kisvarda FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Pecsi MFC); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Pecsi MFC 2-1 Kisvarda FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).