Puszcza Niepolomice vs Wisla Plock
Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach, Niepołomice. The referee is W. Myc.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Puszcza Niepolomice have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. In this competition Puszcza Niepolomice have gone W. Wisla Plock have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. In this competition Wisla Plock have gone W.
The numbers. Puszcza Niepolomice score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wisla Plock score one and concede two a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Wisla Plock average 11.3 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
The case against. Puszcza Niepolomice's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. Wisla Plock or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Puszcza Niepolomice the likelier winners; Puszcza Niepolomice are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Puszcza Niepolomice. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Wisla Plock (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).