Monori SE vs MTK Budapest
Match details. Magyar Kupa, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Balassi Balint utcai stadion, Monor.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Monori SE have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D D. In this competition Monori SE have gone W. MTK Budapest have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition MTK Budapest have gone W.
The numbers. Monori SE score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Monori SE average 12.1 shots (4.4 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game. MTK Budapest score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. MTK Budapest average 13.9 shots (5.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 8% against the records' 47%.
The read. No firm call: Monori SE are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Monori SE the likelier winners; Monori SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Monori SE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: MTK Budapest or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Monori SE); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); MTK Budapest or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Monori SE). Predicted score: Monori SE 2-1 MTK Budapest (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).