Match details. Magyar Kupa, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bicskei Sportpálya.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Bicskei Tc have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. In this competition Bicskei Tc have gone W. Ferencvarosi Budapest have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W D. In this competition Ferencvarosi Budapest have gone W.
The numbers. Bicskei Tc score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Bicskei Tc average 14.6 shots (7.0 on target), 8.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Ferencvarosi Budapest score three and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Ferencvarosi Budapest average 18.1 shots (6.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.
Head to head. Ferencvarosi Budapest have won all of the last two meetings. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 18 Sep 2022, it finished Bicskei Tc 0-2 Ferencvarosi Budapest.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 97% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Ferencvarosi Budapest are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ferencvarosi Budapest the likelier winners; Ferencvarosi Budapest are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Bicskei Tc 1-2 Ferencvarosi Budapest (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).