STSIA

12:30Wed 28 Oct

KKS

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KKS Lech Poznan

CLASS B

THE READ

Match details. Puchar Polski, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion OSiR Wisła, Tarnobrzeg. The referee is D. Stefanski.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Siarka Tarnobrzeg have gone W. KKS Lech Poznan have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.

The numbers. Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Siarka Tarnobrzeg average 2.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. KKS Lech Poznan score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. KKS Lech Poznan average 15.0 shots (5.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.

The case against. Siarka Tarnobrzeg's record still gives them 52% to win.

The read. KKS Lech Poznan to win. An open game. Both teams' records favour Siarka Tarnobrzeg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (KKS Lech Poznan are a clear winner, no Unders); KKS Lech Poznan Over 0.5 Goals (Siarka Tarnobrzeg's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (KKS Lech Poznan are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 KKS Lech Poznan (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

KKS Lech Poznan or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIA 10 of 10 (100%) · KKS 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%

KKS Lech Poznan: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Siarka Tarnobrzeg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

KKS Lech Poznan or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.09

SIA 9 of 10 (90%) · KKS 3 of 5 (60%)78.1%

KKS Lech Poznan: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Siarka Tarnobrzeg: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIA 5 of 5 (100%) · KKS 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

SIA 4 of 5 (80%) · KKS 9 of 10 (90%)88.4%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.38

SIA 3 of 5 (60%) · KKS 8 of 10 (80%)67.5%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

2.20

SIA 2 of 5 (40%) · KKS 7 of 10 (70%)51%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.14

SIA 4 of 5 (80%) · KKS 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

SIA 4 of 5 (80%) · KKS 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · KKS Lech Poznan: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (KKS Lech Poznan are a clear winner - no Unders); KKS Lech Poznan Over 0.5 Goals (Siarka Tarnobrzeg's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (KKS Lech Poznan are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 7.4%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg goals →

KKS Lech Poznan goals ↓

0-04%

1-06%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.6%

0-15%

1-110%

2-19%

3-15%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-24%

1-27%

2-27%

3-24%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-32%

1-34%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31.0%

5-30.4%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.8%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SIARKA TARNOBRZEGWWWDWLLLWW1.90 PPG

KKS LECH POZNANWWLLWWLWDW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SIARKA TARNOBRZEG HOMExKKS LECH POZNAN AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME2.201.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS10%14%FAILED TO SCORE9%2.00CORNERS A GAME5.004.00CARDS A GAME1.62

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR KKS LECH POZNAN (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Siarka Tarnobrzeg have scored in 100% of their games.

KKS Lech Poznan have scored in 80% of their games.

Siarka Tarnobrzeg kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

KKS Lech Poznan kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards