Sparta Rotterdam vs Fortuna Sittard
Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. The referee is S. van der Eijk.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Sparta Rotterdam have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Fortuna Sittard have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. Sparta Rotterdam score 1.5 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sparta Rotterdam average 14.6 shots (5.2 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Fortuna Sittard score 2.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Fortuna Sittard average 9.1 shots (4.0 on target), 2.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 38% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sparta Rotterdam have won five, drawn four and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Sparta Rotterdam won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 7 Feb 2026, it finished Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 Fortuna Sittard: Sparta Rotterdam had 16 shots to 11, 64% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Fortuna Sittard the likelier winners, but Fortuna Sittard are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Sparta Rotterdam. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Fortuna Sittard's record still gives them 40% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to a tight game.
The read. Sparta Rotterdam to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Fortuna Sittard the likelier winners; Fortuna Sittard are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Sparta Rotterdam. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Sparta Rotterdam are a clear winner, no Unders); Sparta Rotterdam Over 1.5 goals (Sparta Rotterdam's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Fortuna Sittard (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).