HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin
Match details. HNL, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka. The referee is Duje Strukan.
What's at stake. HNK Rijeka are 5th on 17 points after 10 games, level on points with NK Osijek, 1 point clear of Istra 1961. A win would take them above NK Osijek. NK Varazdin are 3rd on 18 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Dinamo Zagreb, 1 point clear of NK Osijek.
Form. HNK Rijeka have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. In this competition HNK Rijeka have gone L W L W D W. NK Varazdin have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D. In this competition NK Varazdin have gone L L W D D D.
The numbers. HNK Rijeka score 1.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. HNK Rijeka average 13.6 shots (5.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. NK Varazdin score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. NK Varazdin average 13.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings HNK Rijeka have won two, drawn two and lost six. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, HNK Rijeka won one and NK Varazdin won three. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished HNK Rijeka 0-2 NK Varazdin: HNK Rijeka had 15 shots to 8, 62% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. NK Varazdin's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. HNK Rijeka or the draw. An open game. The meetings favour NK Varazdin. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, 73% on the records (HNK Rijeka: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; NK Varazdin: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Backup: HNK Rijeka Over 0.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: HNK Rijeka 2-1 NK Varazdin (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).