Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. Urawa Red Diamonds have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. Urawa Red Diamonds score 2.7 and concede one a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. Urawa Red Diamonds average 15.2 shots (7.0 on target), 6.3 corners and 0.2 cards a game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina average 11.9 shots (5.6 on target), 6.8 corners and 0.1 cards a game.
The case against. Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Urawa Red Diamonds to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Urawa Red Diamonds the likelier winners; Urawa Red Diamonds are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Urawa Red Diamonds. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Regina (10% chance).
The agreed story. Urawa Red Diamonds or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Urawa Red Diamonds in their last cup games: won 4-0 at Yokohama FC (a division below), won 3-2 v RB Omiya Ardija (a division below), won 3-2 at Kataller Toyama (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).