Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. AC Nagano Parceiro have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L. RB Omiya Ardija have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D.
The numbers. AC Nagano Parceiro score 0.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and eight games without a goal. AC Nagano Parceiro average 7.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 0.6 cards a game. RB Omiya Ardija score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RB Omiya Ardija average 11.6 shots (5.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.4 cards a game.
The case against. AC Nagano Parceiro's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. RB Omiya Ardija to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make RB Omiya Ardija the likelier winners; RB Omiya Ardija are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour RB Omiya Ardija. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or RB Omiya Ardija at 1.21, rated 80% (RB Omiya Ardija unbeaten in 6 of 10; AC Nagano Parceiro failed to win 10 of 10). Predicted score: AC Nagano Parceiro 0-1 RB Omiya Ardija (15% chance).
The agreed story. RB Omiya Ardija or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. AC Nagano Parceiro in their last cup games: drew 0-0 v Mito Hollyhock (2 divisions above), lost 0-6 at FC Tokyo (2 divisions above). RB Omiya Ardija in their last cup games: lost 2-3 at Urawa Red Diamonds (a division above), lost 1-3 at Gainare Tottori (a division below), won 2-0 v Vanraure Hachinohe FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).