Match details. KNVB beker. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. VVV Venlo have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L. Vitesse Arnhem have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. VVV Venlo score three and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. VVV Venlo average 12.7 shots (6.0 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Vitesse Arnhem score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Vitesse Arnhem average 12.3 shots (3.3 on target), 6.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Vitesse Arnhem's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. VVV Venlo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make VVV Venlo the likelier winners; VVV Venlo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour VVV Venlo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Vitesse Arnhem or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs VVV Venlo); Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: VVV Venlo 2-1 Vitesse Arnhem (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
VVV Venlo or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
VVV 5 of 5 (100%) · VIT 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
VVV Venlo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
VVV Venlo or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
VVV 5 of 5 (100%) · VIT 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
VVV Venlo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
Double Chance: VVV Venlo or Vitesse ArnhemIN CODES
1.27
VVV 4 of 5 (80%) · VIT 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%
VVV Venlo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
VVV 5 of 5 (100%) · VIT 3 of 5 (60%)85.4%
VVV Venlo: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.54
VVV 4 of 5 (80%) · VIT 1 of 5 (20%)55.9%
VVV Venlo: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
VVV VENLO GOALS
VVV Venlo Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
VVV 5 of 5 (100%) · VIT 4 of 5 (80%)92.7%
VVV Venlo scored in 5 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.26
VVV 4 of 5 (80%) · VIT 5 of 5 (100%)86.7%
VVV Venlo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Vitesse Arnhem: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · VVV Venlo: only games against sides at Vitesse Arnhem's level · Vitesse Arnhem: only games against sides at VVV Venlo's level
Left off the list: Vitesse Arnhem or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs VVV Venlo); Over 2.5 Cards (the numbers (68%) and the records (93%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Vitesse Arnhem or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs VVV Venlo)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.8%
VVV Venlo goals →
Vitesse Arnhem goals ↓
0-05%
1-08%
2-08%
3-05%
4-03%
5-01.0%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-26%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
VVV VENLOWDWWLWWLWW2.20 PPG
VITESSE ARNHEMLWLDLWLWWL1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
VVV VENLO HOMExVITESSE ARNHEM AWAY
2.90SCORED A GAME1.201.60CONCEDED A GAME1.5030%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.80CORNERS A GAME6.101.50CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
VVV VENLO OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.08POINTS A GAME1.42+1.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.08+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.32.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.812LEAGUE GAMES12
VVV Venlo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
VVV VENLO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 85/90
VVV VENLO OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
VITESSE ARNHEM OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
VVV VENLOxVITESSE ARNHEM
6GAMES63.00SCORED A GAME1.331.67CONCEDED A GAME1.174.7GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.5100%OVER 1.5 GOALS67%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%67%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
VVV Venlo have scored in 100% of their games.
Vitesse Arnhem have scored in 50% of their games.
VVV Venlo kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Vitesse Arnhem kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards