PEC Zwolle vs TOP Oss
Match details. KNVB beker, Round of 64. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle. The referee is R. Martens.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. PEC Zwolle have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. TOP Oss have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W L.
The numbers. PEC Zwolle score one and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. PEC Zwolle average 12.6 shots (4.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. TOP Oss score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. TOP Oss average 11.2 shots (4.2 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. PEC Zwolle have won all of the last two meetings. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Jan 2023, it finished PEC Zwolle 4-1 TOP Oss: PEC Zwolle had 24 shots to 11, 71% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: TOP Oss are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour PEC Zwolle. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); PEC Zwolle or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); TOP Oss or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: PEC Zwolle 1-1 TOP Oss (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).