INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - GULF CLUB CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

ASALS

15:45Tue 27 Oct

NEO

Al Shabab vs Neom SC

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Gulf Club Champions League, Group Stage - 2. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 15:45 Lagos time. It is played at Al-Seeb Stadium.

Form. Al Shabab have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Al Shabab have gone L. Neom SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. In this competition Neom SC have gone W.

The numbers. Al Shabab score 1.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Neom SC score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Neom SC average 12.4 shots (3.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.

The case against. Al Shabab's record still gives them 50% to win.

The read. Neom SC to win. A tight game. Al Shabab are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Shabab. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 5.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Al Shabab 0-1 Neom SC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

NEOM SC GOALS

Neom SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALS 6 of 10 (60%) · NEO 6 of 10 (60%)75%

Neom SC scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Shabab conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60%

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALS 9 of 10 (90%) · NEO 7 of 10 (70%)80%

Al Shabab: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Neom SC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Neom SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.4%

Al Shabab goals →

Neom SC goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL SHABABDDWLWWWLWW2.00 PPG

NEOM SCLLWWWDWLLW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL SHABAB HOMExNEOM SC AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME1.601.10CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE36%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR NEOM SC (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.40POINTS A GAME1.60+1.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES10

Al Shabab: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

AL SHABAB 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 85/90

AL SHABAB OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

NEOM SC OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AL SHABABxNEOM SC

5GAMES52.80SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME1.004.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Al Shabab failed to score in 0% of their games.

Neom SC failed to score in 36% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against