Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 14. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CS Cartagines are 2nd on 24 points after 13 games, level on points with Deportivo Saprissa, level on points with Sporting San Jose. A win would take them above Deportivo Saprissa. AD San Carlos are 5th on 22 points after 13 games, level on points with LD Alajuelense, 3 points clear of Puntarenas FC. A win would take them above LD Alajuelense.
Form. CS Cartagines have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. In this competition CS Cartagines have gone L W W L L W. AD San Carlos have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W. In this competition AD San Carlos have gone W D L W W W.
The numbers. CS Cartagines score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. CS Cartagines average 4.2 corners and 2.7 cards a game. AD San Carlos score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. AD San Carlos average 0.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CS Cartagines have won six, drawn three and lost one. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, CS Cartagines won two, one was drawn and AD San Carlos won one. The last time they met, on 21 Sep 2026, it finished CS Cartagines 0-1 AD San Carlos.
Where it pulls both ways. AD San Carlos are the form side, but the meetings favour CS Cartagines: in the last ten meetings, CS Cartagines won six, AD San Carlos won one and three were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 76% on the records (CS Cartagines: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; AD San Carlos: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10). Leave: CS Cartagines or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AD San Carlos or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: CS Cartagines 2-1 AD San Carlos (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).