Canberra Croatia FC vs South Melbourne FC

Match details. Australian Championship, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Deakin Stadium, Canberra.

What's at stake. Canberra Croatia FC are 4th on 1 point after 2 games, 2 points behind South Hobart. A win would take them above South Hobart. South Melbourne FC are 1st on 5 points after 2 games.

Form. Canberra Croatia FC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. In this competition Canberra Croatia FC have gone L. South Melbourne FC have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition South Melbourne FC have gone W.

The numbers. Canberra Croatia FC score 2.4 and concede 1.1 a game in their last eight at home, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Canberra Croatia FC average 13.3 shots (6.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. South Melbourne FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. South Melbourne FC average 11.3 shots (4.4 on target), 6.4 corners and 1.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 14% against the records' 57%.

The read. No firm call: Canberra Croatia FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Canberra Croatia FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Canberra Croatia FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: South Melbourne FC Over 0.5 Goals (Canberra Croatia FC's own games don't back it (3 of 8)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Canberra Croatia FC 2-1 South Melbourne FC (9% chance).