KS Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
Match details. Kategoria e Pare. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. KS Pogradeci have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. KF Oriku have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. KS Pogradeci score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. KS Pogradeci average 11.2 shots (4.7 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.6 cards a game. KF Oriku score 0.2 and concede two a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. KF Oriku average 7.0 shots (2.3 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 93% against the records' 59%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The read. No firm call: KS Pogradeci are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make KS Pogradeci the likelier winners; KS Pogradeci are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KS Pogradeci.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: KS Pogradeci 2-0 KF Oriku (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).