MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
02:00Sun 1 Nov
CDT
CT
Piratas Veracruz vs CD Tapatio
CLASS E
THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
79
DRAW NO BET
Class E
Piratas Veracruz (Draw No Bet)
Piratas Veracruz v CD Tapatio
1.11odds
90%book
-11edge
1/1angles
EDGE PICKCD Tapatio Over 0.5 goals · 56.5% · @1.59
Book 63% · Us 56% -7 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themCD Tapatio scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Expansion MX, Apertura - 15. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time. The referee is F. Cruz Garatachea.
Form. Piratas Veracruz have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L. CD Tapatio have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Piratas Veracruz score 2.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Piratas Veracruz average 6.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CD Tapatio score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CD Tapatio average 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. CD Tapatio's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Piratas Veracruz to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Piratas Veracruz the likelier winners; Piratas Veracruz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Piratas Veracruz. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Piratas Veracruz (Draw No Bet) at 1.11, 72% on the records (Piratas Veracruz won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out); CD Tapatio lost 6 of 9 (draws left out)). Backup: Piratas Veracruz or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Piratas Veracruz 2-1 CD Tapatio (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Piratas Veracruz or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 10 of 10 (100%)86.5%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Over 2.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.13
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 9 of 10 (90%)79.1%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz (Draw No Bet)MAININ CODES
1.11
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 6 of 9 (67%)78.8%
Piratas Veracruz won 4 of 5 at home (draws left out) · CD Tapatio lost 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 65% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 1
Piratas Veracruz or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Piratas Veracruz scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio trailed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz or Draw & Over 1.5LEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 6 of 10 (60%)59.8%
Piratas Veracruz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 6 of 10 (60%)59.5%
Piratas Veracruz won 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio lost 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 5 of 5 (100%) · CDT 10 of 10 (100%)88.1%
Piratas Veracruz: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 88%
1.13
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 9 of 10 (90%)68.1%
Piratas Veracruz: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 70%
1.43
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 8 of 10 (80%)46.8%
Piratas Veracruz: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
PIR 2 of 5 (40%) · CDT 7 of 10 (70%)47.5%
Piratas Veracruz: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
PIRATAS VERACRUZ GOALS
Piratas Veracruz Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 9 of 10 (90%)79%
Piratas Veracruz scored in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
Piratas Veracruz Over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 77%
1.30
PIR 4 of 5 (80%) · CDT 6 of 10 (60%)46.6%
Piratas Veracruz scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · CD Tapatio conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level
CD TAPATIO GOALS
CD Tapatio Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
PIR 6 of 10 (60%) · CDT 5 of 5 (100%)75.7%
CD Tapatio scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
CD Tapatio Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
PIR 8 of 10 (80%) · CDT 3 of 5 (60%)56.5%
CD Tapatio scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Piratas Veracruz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · CD Tapatio: only games against sides at Piratas Veracruz's level · Piratas Veracruz: only games against sides at CD Tapatio's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.8%
Piratas Veracruz goals →
CD Tapatio goals ↓
0-07%
1-010%
2-09%
3-06%
4-03%
5-00.9%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
PIRATAS VERACRUZWWLWLWDWDL1.70 PPG
CD TAPATIOLLWLLWLLDW1.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PIRATAS VERACRUZ HOMExCD TAPATIO AWAY
1.86SCORED A GAME1.711.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9330%CLEAN SHEETS10%6.93CORNERS A GAME4.002.64CARDS A GAME2.57
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.77POINTS A GAME1.08+0.92GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.31+8.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.01.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.613LEAGUE GAMES13
Piratas Veracruz: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
PIRATAS VERACRUZ 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
73%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 85/90
PIRATAS VERACRUZ OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
CD TAPATIO OR DRAW
22%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PIRATAS VERACRUZxCD TAPATIO
6GAMES62.33SCORED A GAME1.170.50CONCEDED A GAME2.502.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.767%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%33%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Piratas Veracruz have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Tapatio have scored in 80% of their games.
Piratas Veracruz kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CD Tapatio kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards