Strasbourg vs AJ Auxerre
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. The referee is Guillaume Paradis.
What's at stake. Strasbourg are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Estac Troyes, level on points with Le Mans. A win would take them above Estac Troyes. AJ Auxerre are 12th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Toulouse, 1 point clear of Stade Brestois 29. A win would take them above Toulouse.
Team news. Strasbourg are without J. Panichelli (knee injury), S. Amo-Ameyaw (inactive), F. Balde (leg injury), J. Panichelli (knee injury), S. Amo-Ameyaw (inactive), F. Balde (leg injury). AJ Auxerre are without A. Diousse (knee injury), S. Fofana (groin injury), R. Labeau Lascary (injury), B. Okoh (knee injury), A. Diousse (knee injury), S. Fofana (groin injury).
Form. Strasbourg have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. AJ Auxerre have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W.
The numbers. Strasbourg score 1.9 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Strasbourg average 10.1 shots (5.0 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. AJ Auxerre score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. AJ Auxerre average 9.5 shots (4.3 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Strasbourg have won six, drawn one and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Strasbourg won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 7 Mar 2026, it finished Strasbourg 0-0 AJ Auxerre: Strasbourg had 13 shots to 10, 72% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Strasbourg the likelier winners, but AJ Auxerre are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Strasbourg; the meetings favour Strasbourg. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. AJ Auxerre's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Strasbourg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Strasbourg the likelier winners; AJ Auxerre are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Strasbourg; the meetings favour Strasbourg. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 77% on the records (Strasbourg: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; AJ Auxerre: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Strasbourg are a clear winner, no Unders); AJ Auxerre Under 1.5 goals (AJ Auxerre's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Strasbourg Over 1.5 goals (Strasbourg's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Strasbourg 2-1 AJ Auxerre (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).