NPNAU

23:30Sat 31 Oct

AVA

Nautico PE vs Avai FC SC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 23:30 Lagos time.

Form. Nautico PE have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Avai FC SC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.

The numbers. Nautico PE score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Nautico PE average 6.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Avai FC SC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Avai FC SC average 4.5 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Nautico PE the likelier winners, but Avai FC SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Nautico PE.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Avai FC SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Avai FC SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Avai FC SC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: Nautico PE 1-1 Avai FC SC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.11

NAU 4 of 5 (80%) · AVA 5 of 5 (100%)89.2%

Nautico PE: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Avai FC SC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Avai FC SC's level · Avai FC SC: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level

AVAI FC SC GOALS

Avai FC SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.49

NAU 3 of 5 (60%) · AVA 4 of 5 (80%)63.5%

Avai FC SC scored in 3 of 5 away · Nautico PE conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Avai FC SC: only games against sides at Nautico PE's level · Nautico PE: only games against sides at Avai FC SC's level

Left off the list: Avai FC SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Avai FC SC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Avai FC SC win or both teams score (no result call); Avai FC SC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Avai FC SC or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Nautico PE Under 1.5 goals (Avai FC SC's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

Nautico PE goals →

Avai FC SC goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-09%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

NAUTICO PELDLLDWLDLW0.90 PPG

AVAI FC SCLDWWLLLDLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NAUTICO PE HOMExAVAI FC SC AWAY

1.11SCORED A GAME0.941.31CONCEDED A GAME1.2940%BOTH SCORED40%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%6.26CORNERS A GAME4.462.71CARDS A GAME2.89

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.07POINTS A GAME1.13-0.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.47-4.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.00.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES15

Avai FC SC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

43%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

NAUTICO PE OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

AVAI FC SC OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

NAUTICO PExAVAI FC SC

6GAMES81.17SCORED A GAME0.881.00CONCEDED A GAME1.752.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.650%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS62%33%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Nautico PE have scored in 50% of their games.

Avai FC SC have scored in 50% of their games.

Nautico PE kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Avai FC SC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards