Al Jazira (UAE) vs Al-Muharraq SC

Match details. AFC Champions League Two, Group Stage - 3. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mohammad Bin Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi.

What's at stake. Al Jazira (UAE) are 1st on 4 points after 2 games, 1 point clear of Arkadag. Al-Muharraq SC are 3rd on 3 points after 2 games, level on points with Arkadag, 2 points clear of Gol Gohar. A win would take them above Arkadag.

Form. Al Jazira (UAE) have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D W. In this competition Al Jazira (UAE) have gone W D. Al-Muharraq SC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Al-Muharraq SC have gone W L.

The numbers. Al Jazira (UAE) score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Al Jazira (UAE) average 19.8 shots (5.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. Al-Muharraq SC score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Al-Muharraq SC average 12.6 shots (3.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.7 cards a game.

The case against. Al-Muharraq SC's record still gives them 23% to win.

The read. Al Jazira (UAE) to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Al Jazira (UAE) the likelier winners; Al Jazira (UAE) are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Jazira (UAE). Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 87% on the records (Al Jazira (UAE): under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Al-Muharraq SC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Jazira (UAE) 1-0 Al-Muharraq SC (14% chance).