Match details. AFC Champions League Two. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 13:15 Lagos time.
Form. The Cong - Viettel FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. FC Seoul have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. The Cong - Viettel FC score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. The Cong - Viettel FC average 7.2 shots (2.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game. FC Seoul score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Seoul average 13.4 shots (5.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
The case against. FC Seoul's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. The Cong - Viettel FC or the draw. An open game. FC Seoul are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: The Cong - Viettel FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: The Cong - Viettel FC 2-1 FC Seoul (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).