ANAPO

17:00Wed 28 Oct

HAL

HAL

APOEL Nikosia vs Halkanoras

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Cyprus Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at GSP Stadium, Nicosia.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. APOEL Nikosia have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. Halkanoras have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L D L.

The numbers. APOEL Nikosia score 1.6 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Halkanoras score one and concede 0.2 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 10% against the records' 45%.

The read. No firm call: Halkanoras are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Halkanoras are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Halkanoras. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: APOEL Nikosia 1-1 Halkanoras (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Halkanoras win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.72

APO 3 of 5 (60%) · HAL 8 of 10 (80%)70%

Halkanoras: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · APOEL Nikosia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

APO 9 of 10 (90%) · HAL 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%

APOEL Nikosia: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Halkanoras: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.38

APO 8 of 10 (80%) · HAL 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%

APOEL Nikosia: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Halkanoras: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

HALKANORAS GOALS

Halkanoras Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.72

APO 3 of 5 (60%) · HAL 8 of 10 (80%)70%

Halkanoras scored in 3 of 5 away · APOEL Nikosia conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.10

APO 8 of 10 (80%) · HAL 3 of 5 (60%)71.7%

APOEL Nikosia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Halkanoras: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

APOEL Nikosia goals →

Halkanoras goals ↓

0-010%

1-09%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-112%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

APOEL NIKOSIALLLLWLDWDW1.10 PPG

HALKANORASDWWWDLDLDW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

APOEL NIKOSIA HOMExHALKANORAS AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.301.60CONCEDED A GAME0.9020%CLEAN SHEETS50%14%FAILED TO SCORE40%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.33POINTS A GAME1.00+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40+4.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.41.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES5

APOEL Nikosia: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

65%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

69%

NO · 85/90

APOEL NIKOSIA OR DRAW

85%

OKAY · 80/85

HALKANORAS OR DRAW

60%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

APOEL NIKOSIAxHALKANORAS

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.87.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

APOEL Nikosia failed to score in 14% of their games.

Halkanoras failed to score in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & against